How German Reparations compares to Greek Bailouts

A friend comparing all final claims on German reparations from WWII being absolved in the final 1990 international accord after reunification started this conversation:

I feel it somewhat ironic that Germany can insist that Greece pays back its debt. The country defaulted three times in paying its debt and war repatriations in 1932, 1938 and 1948. Furthermore in January 1923 France and Belgium invaded the Ruhr to demand that Germany find the funds to pay its war debt. Helped lead to the rise of a certain Adolf Hitler!

Close up of flags of Germany and Greece

Who is Right Germany orĀ Greece?

I don’t think that the stalling on Germany providing more bailout funds is because Greece hasn’t made payments; the conversation is all about how will Greece stop the haemorrhaging in it’s overspending and under collection of taxation revenue, a two-fold problem of it’s own creation. The Germans quite rightly don’t want to give more money if there is no prospect of any change in the conditions, which created the current crisis.

Very different consideration when making repayments to someone who has kindly lent you money to defaulting on reparations to right a wrong but you’re working hard on repairing your economy so that you can recover and then make payments.

Germany fixed it’s economy, so much so that even at the end of WWII it’s economic output was at the same levels as the start of the war and has continued from strength to strength today. A good example of getting the conditions right and perhaps worth the while of the Greeks to listen!

Given the correct analysis from you, but is it possible to fix the economy while in the Euro? Iceland bankers went back to fishing after their default.

I personally think that Greece being out of the Euro is the best way to fix their economy as they take back control over monetary policy.

Still a lot of pains involved as assets are lost to their creditors as part of the debt absolving in that scenario. Many people think that a default means that the debt if absolved and the world is good… There will be state securities in place that the creditors will take over and the Drachma once reinstated will be very weak. A weak drachma will be excellent for exports and tourism but will be very bad for investment in all domestic enterprise until confidence in the Greek government and new Greek bonds recovers. A huge risk however is hyperinflation and the potential requirement for humanitarian aid.

Perhaps most important of all either way is that sensible conversations take place that allow the Greek people to start electing good representatives that implement conditions to create incentive and reward for effort in their economy instead of populist policies designed only for their personal reelection.

 

 

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